因此，我们面临的不是社会民主主义的强劲和巩固的复苏，而是与选民的更大分裂和保守党的挫折相关的某种复苏，在欧洲大部分地区，2008年的危机。既然如此，固然不利于胜利者的立场，但现在不是放过机会的时候。政党制度和选民偏好的变化清楚地表明，我们正在经历重大转变的时刻，我们必须知道如何识别和解释，并需要做出回应。谁在这一挑战中取得成功，谁就会设计未来，也就是说，他们将统治未来。
今天的社会已经生活在一个由技术革命、人口变化或气候变化（以及其他因素）产生的不确定性时代，已经看到在 covid-19 大流行之后 购买批量短信服务 不确定性和不安全性如何成倍增加。许多生命运行的坐标都在全面转变，或者干脆消失了。仅仅两代人就没有多少确定性了。根据 2021 年春季欧洲晴雨表1，欧洲人说他们目前的感受首先是不确定性，其次是希望，然后描述指向同一方向的感觉：沮丧、无能、愤怒和恐惧。 对这种不确定性的厌恶是人性的共同点，以一种特殊的方式，对西方来说也是如此，西方的历史可以很好地理解为对确定性的持续探索。
所有这一切使得人们很难理解正在发生的事情。不确定性厌恶的伴侣是恐惧。对未来的恐惧，对未知的恐惧，对不理解和不知道如何在这个新空间中生存的恐惧，此时政治，特别是民主制度，在欧洲不再被视为他们在其他国家的保护斗篷次。2008 年危机管理的痕迹在一个公民的想象中存在，他们明白未来不再是直线上升的进步路线，同时感到政治对他们没有用，因为它不能保护他们。反应很快就来了，在南欧尤其强烈：对制度的不信任和政治上的不满。如果在 2011 年不满情绪以 15 米的形式出现在西班牙，充满愤怒的广场，葡萄牙的 Brancosos，法国的 La Nuit debout [步行之夜] 等等，那么现在不满情绪显示出它的另一面，
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